Why Ron Paul Can Win
My first article back in March asked the question, "Can Ron Paul win?" I concluded that he could, if we all did our part to help his campaign, largely because of the weakness of the leading Republican candidates. That remains the single best reason to remain optimistic about his chances, but the past few months have given Ron Paul supporters even more reasons.
Ron Paul's fundraising has been solid, and increasing every month. He was the leading candidate on the Internet early on, and has only widened that lead since then. Four nationally televised debates have attracted many new supporters, and demonstrated Dr. Paul's command of the issues and his fiery commitment to freedom, prosperity, and peace. According to those who watched the debates, he has been the runaway winner.
Ron Paul's huge lead on the Internet has started to translate into real world political activity, with a volunteer army of 37,000 organized in local Meetup groups around the nation. Volunteers have been handing out literature at state fairs and gun shows, calling and writing voters in early primary states, and even funding and producing their own radio and newspaper ads. Sign-waving supporters have been the subject of local media reports from Florida to Iowa to Hawaii.
The grassroots efforts are starting to bear fruit, with top-three showings in 14 of 19 Republican straw polls around the country, including victories in Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Washington, and two in New Hampshire. Only the telephone-based public opinion polls have been slow to show progress, but even they have slowly climbed to the 3% level in several recent national surveys. All of this has come with minimal network television coverage, and before most of the voting public starts paying attention to the race, traditionally after Labor Day.
When undecided voters go online to search for information on the candidates, they will be stunned by the widespread support for Ron Paul on YouTube, MySpace, and elsewhere. When they tune in to the remaining Republican debates, they will respond as viewers of the initial debates did, with a newfound appreciation of Ron Paul as a serious and credible candidate.
When conservatives examine the so-called top tier candidates in more detail, they will be even less enthused than they are now. Rudy Giuliani is a pro-choice, anti-Second Amendment candidate who has been receiving nearly no support in straw polls of Republican activists. John McCain's embrace of amnesty for illegal immigrants has contributed to the disintegration of his campaign, with his support now in the single digits.
Mitt Romney has emerged as a top-tier candidate as McCain has slipped and Giuliani has plateaued, but his negatives have been rising even faster than his campaign's debt, and now exceed Hillary Clinton's. Fred Thompson may become Ron Paul's most serious challenger for conservative votes, but his lobbyist past and his indecisiveness about joining the race are sure to lessen his appeal.
Ron Paul remains the most conservative candidate across a wide range of issues. He remains the only Republican contender opposed to the increasingly unpopular war in Iraq, and the only one with proven appeal to independents and Democrats, even as he articulates a clear vision of smaller government and a strict adherence to the Constitution.
Even with all of these promising developments, Ron Paul supporters face an uphill fight to the nomination, with less than five months remaining until the early contests. The television networks will not treat him as a top-tier candidate unless his fundraising and polling numbers increase significantly. Without the free publicity and credibility given the other candidates, we will have to earn every vote the hard way, with continued dedication and perseverance.
Ron Paul can win, but only if we take our efforts to the next level. The foundation is in place, but the campaign is just beginning.
Ron Paul's fundraising has been solid, and increasing every month. He was the leading candidate on the Internet early on, and has only widened that lead since then. Four nationally televised debates have attracted many new supporters, and demonstrated Dr. Paul's command of the issues and his fiery commitment to freedom, prosperity, and peace. According to those who watched the debates, he has been the runaway winner.
Ron Paul's huge lead on the Internet has started to translate into real world political activity, with a volunteer army of 37,000 organized in local Meetup groups around the nation. Volunteers have been handing out literature at state fairs and gun shows, calling and writing voters in early primary states, and even funding and producing their own radio and newspaper ads. Sign-waving supporters have been the subject of local media reports from Florida to Iowa to Hawaii.
The grassroots efforts are starting to bear fruit, with top-three showings in 14 of 19 Republican straw polls around the country, including victories in Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Washington, and two in New Hampshire. Only the telephone-based public opinion polls have been slow to show progress, but even they have slowly climbed to the 3% level in several recent national surveys. All of this has come with minimal network television coverage, and before most of the voting public starts paying attention to the race, traditionally after Labor Day.
When undecided voters go online to search for information on the candidates, they will be stunned by the widespread support for Ron Paul on YouTube, MySpace, and elsewhere. When they tune in to the remaining Republican debates, they will respond as viewers of the initial debates did, with a newfound appreciation of Ron Paul as a serious and credible candidate.
When conservatives examine the so-called top tier candidates in more detail, they will be even less enthused than they are now. Rudy Giuliani is a pro-choice, anti-Second Amendment candidate who has been receiving nearly no support in straw polls of Republican activists. John McCain's embrace of amnesty for illegal immigrants has contributed to the disintegration of his campaign, with his support now in the single digits.
Mitt Romney has emerged as a top-tier candidate as McCain has slipped and Giuliani has plateaued, but his negatives have been rising even faster than his campaign's debt, and now exceed Hillary Clinton's. Fred Thompson may become Ron Paul's most serious challenger for conservative votes, but his lobbyist past and his indecisiveness about joining the race are sure to lessen his appeal.
Ron Paul remains the most conservative candidate across a wide range of issues. He remains the only Republican contender opposed to the increasingly unpopular war in Iraq, and the only one with proven appeal to independents and Democrats, even as he articulates a clear vision of smaller government and a strict adherence to the Constitution.
Even with all of these promising developments, Ron Paul supporters face an uphill fight to the nomination, with less than five months remaining until the early contests. The television networks will not treat him as a top-tier candidate unless his fundraising and polling numbers increase significantly. Without the free publicity and credibility given the other candidates, we will have to earn every vote the hard way, with continued dedication and perseverance.
Ron Paul can win, but only if we take our efforts to the next level. The foundation is in place, but the campaign is just beginning.