Ron Paul Campaign — a Look Ahead

While today's Presidents Day money bomb was relatively unpublicized, and most supporters have accepted that Ron Paul's chances of winning the Republican presidential nomination are all but gone, it still brought in a respectable sum -- over $75,000 for his presidential campaign and more than $300,000 for his Congressional race. The combined haul was one of the better days of the past year, and showed the continuing strength of the Ron Paul Revolution.

As the primary season winds down, here is a look at the remaining states, with an indication of where Ron Paul might do the best, based on his 2007 fundraising totals in those states, compared to McCain and Huckabee. Ron Paul was the leading fundraiser of the three in Washington, Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon, Idaho, and New Mexico. The list below shows the remaining primaries, and the percentage of the three remaining candidates' funds raised in each state by Ron Paul:

Fundraising Percentage in Remaining States

Date State RP Pct
19-Feb WI 41.0%
19-Feb WA 56.6%
4-Mar OH 38.8%
4-Mar RI 33.3%
4-Mar TX 32.6%
4-Mar VT 28.4%
11-Mar MS 14.6%
22-Apr PA 42.1%
6-May IN 47.3%
6-May NC 30.4%
13-May NE 41.7%
13-May WV 53.6%
20-May KY 52.2%
20-May OR 53.4%
27-May ID 51.8%
3-Jun SD 30.7%
3-Jun NM 56.1%


Ron Paul has already done well in the Washington caucuses on February 9th with 22% of the vote, but another 19 of the state's 40 delegates are up for grabs in tomorrow's primary. All of the remaining state contests are primaries, so the mark to beat is the 8% recorded in New Hampshire and the District of Columbia. Washington looks like the best bet to top that mark, followed by the final race of the year, in New Mexico on June 3rd.

West Virginia has already held its state convention and elected most of its delegates, but 9 more are on the line in its May 13th primary. In five of the final six states, Ron Paul raised more money than John McCain and Mike Huckabee combined, so if Ron Paul supporters continue to turn out to vote while the other candidates' supporters assume the race is over and don't show up, it could set up a strong finish for our favorite presidential candidate.
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